Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.355974 4.818420 5.311828 5.877946 6.510160 7.195162 7.994512
2026-01-11 3.584118 4.214928 4.933714 5.815478 6.870942 8.097329 9.635516
2026-01-18 3.009980 3.726806 4.590277 5.711809 7.137052 8.897050 11.249382
2026-01-25 2.577894 3.336018 4.294019 5.601700 7.352995 9.635247 12.863798
2026-02-01 2.246469 3.021272 4.042229 5.498230 7.541164 10.334903 14.494965
2026-02-08 1.984017 2.760725 3.822932 5.398190 7.703014 10.995441 16.132998
2026-02-15 1.788524 2.566593 3.667166 5.358698 7.930786 11.756262 17.991671
2026-02-22 1.668474 2.464497 3.626738 5.474433 8.388722 12.893666 20.551578
2026-03-01 1.529519 2.318374 3.503358 5.445465 8.611957 13.681885 22.638676
2026-03-08 1.380322 2.141145 3.313533 5.288451 8.606581 14.091967 24.130537
2026-03-15 1.274963 2.021986 3.201630 5.242059 8.771413 14.790440 26.192393
2026-03-22 1.215479 1.970395 3.191826 5.361027 9.224006 16.021578 29.355984
2026-03-29 1.155177 1.913761 3.171091 5.463572 9.666885 17.300039 32.812045
2026-04-05 1.085588 1.835390 3.106584 5.482458 9.960425 18.339289 35.951059
2026-04-12 1.010598 1.741193 3.006196 5.425911 10.106111 19.113988 38.663509
2026-04-19 0.939159 1.647213 2.897846 5.343240 10.191174 19.777079 41.230842
2026-04-26 0.874109 1.559361 2.792931 5.256245 10.256744 20.404980 43.804405
2026-05-03 0.814907 1.477477 2.692069 5.166918 10.306644 21.002925 46.389877
2026-05-10 0.768093 1.415033 2.622452 5.132421 10.464665 21.843750 49.646925
2026-05-17 0.742900 1.391655 2.625414 5.244590 10.943381 23.431888 54.901804
2026-05-24 0.703598 1.337824 2.564388 5.217862 11.116857 24.358104 58.673047
2026-05-31 0.654159 1.260374 2.450395 5.068430 11.001631 24.609348 60.775112
2026-06-07 0.619699 1.210406 2.388035 5.024383 11.119873 25.417521 64.435855